Article ID: CBB749260436

Random river: Luna Leopold and the promise of chance in fluvial geomorphology (2020)

unapi

Luna B. Leopold was a hydrologist and fluvial geomorphologist who headed the Water Resource Division of the U.S. Geological Survey from 1957 to 1966 and was one of the leaders of the postwar quantitative revolution in geomorphology. Like other quantitative geomorphologists of his generation, he turned to numbers partly to strengthen his professional authority in policy debates, particularly those concerning a looming ‘water crisis’ in the United States. This paper traces the traces the evolution of Leopold's thought from the 1950s to the 1970s, when he turned from seeking universal empirical regularities in river processes to arguing that fluvial systems were inherently indeterminate and unpredictable. While this position was largely rejected by Leopold's scientific colleagues, it was embraced by members of the emerging environmental movement, for whom Leopold's stochastic understanding of rivers provided a seemingly authoritative rationale for the position that complete control and prediction of river systems would always remain out of reach. More broadly, this case shows how quantitative imprecision and uncertainty can sometimes be advantageous for experts seeking to establish authority in a contested policy domain.

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Authors & Contributors
Brown, Philip C.
Chew, Matthew K.
Colten, Craig E.
Fridenson, Patrick
Hisano, Ai
Macfarlane, Daniel
Journals
Journal of the History of Biology
Berichte zur Wissenschaftsgeschichte
History and Technology
Journal of Historical Geography
Quaderns d'Història de l'Enginyeria
Revue d'Histoire des Sciences Humaines
Publishers
Cornell University Press
Harvard University Press
Johns Hopkins University Press
Louisiana State University Press
MIT Press
University of Chicago Press
Concepts
Expertise
Certainty; uncertainty
Hydrology
Environmental history
Risk
Travel; exploration
People
Castelli, Benedetto
Time Periods
20th century
19th century
20th century, early
20th century, late
21st century
17th century
Places
United States
Soviet Union
Venice (Italy)
Appalachian region (North America)
Canada
Europe
Institutions
United States. Geological Survey
European Space Agency (ESA)
United States. Army
United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (U.S.)
National Aeronautics and Space Administration
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