Article ID: CBB732121930

So close no matter how far: counterfactuals in history of science and the inevitability/contingency controversy (2020)

unapi

This paper has a twofold purpose. First, it aims at highlighting one difference (albeit in degree and not in kind) in how counterfactuals work in general history, on the one hand, and in history of the natural sciences, on the other hand. As we show, both in general history and in history of science good counterfactual narratives need to be plausible, where plausibility is construed as appropriate continuity of both the antecedent and the consequent of the counterfactual with what we know about the world. However, in general history it is often possible to imagine a consequent dramatically different from the actual historical development, and yet plausible; in history of science, due to plausibility concerns, imagining a consequent far removed from the results of actual science seems more complicated. The second aim of the paper is to assess whether and to what degree counterfactual histories of science can advance the cause of the so-called “contingency thesis,” namely, the claim that history of science might have followed a path leading to alternative, non-equivalent theories, as successful as the ones that we currently embrace. We distinguish various versions of the contingency thesis and argue that counterfactual histories of science support weak versions of the thesis.

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Authors & Contributors
Dagg, Joachim
Soler, Lena
Pickering, Andrew

Greene, Catherine
Tambolo, Luca
Journals
Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part C: Studies in History and Philosophy of Biological and Biomedical Sciences
Journal for General Philosophy of Science
HOPOS
Publishers
University of Pittsburgh Press
Concepts
Contingency (philosophy)
Determinism
Philosophy of science
Controversies and disputes
Counterfactual history
Historical method
People
Radick, Gregory
Darwin, Charles Robert
Bowler, Peter J.
Time Periods
21st century
20th century, late
19th century
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