Article ID: CBB637769038

How to Read by Numbers: Plague, Political Arithmetic, and the Production of History (2020)

unapi

Recent work in the history of science and epistemology has illuminated the rhetorical nature of the "anti-rhetorical" arguments of seventeenth-century political arithmetic, which turned to quantitative reasoning as a method for formulating state policy. This article examines a different aspect of political arithmetic argumentation—its ambivalent relationship to popular engagements with number during the late seventeenth and early eighteenth centuries—in order to achieve a more sensitive account of its method. By considering John Graunt's Natural and Political Observations Made Upon the Bills of Mortality (1661) alongside two literary histories of plague that draw upon printed mortality bills, albeit with a high degree of skepticism, to represent the spread of plague through London's urban environs—Samuel Pepys' Diary, and Daniel Defoe's A Journal of the Plague Year (1722)—this essay demonstrates that the institution of the bills of mortality to combat the social and epistemological crisis of plague initiated a cultural consciousness of membership in a numerable body politic, and inspired new ways of visualizing the space of politics. Read in terms of form, imaginative and philosophical writing on plague alike reflect a dependence on number to counter the problem of witnessing the plague in viably empirical terms—and, more broadly, speak to its increasingly important role in representing social formations as quantifiable entities open to strategic policing and manipulation by state power.

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Authors & Contributors
Totaro, Rebecca Carol Noel
McCormick, Ted
Hochstadt, Steve
Cummins, Neil
Kelly, Morgan
Véron, Jacques
Journals
Journal Electronique d'Histoire des Probabilités et de la Statistique
Centaurus: International Magazine of the History of Mathematics, Science, and Technology
Economic History Review
Social Science History
Social History of Medicine
Journal of the Washington Academy of Sciences
Publishers
Oxford University Press
Ohio University Press
Gallimard, Seuil
Duke University Press
Caliban
Ashgate
Concepts
Demography; population research
Vital statistics
Plague
Science and politics
Public health
Mortality
People
Petty, William
Graunt, John
Süssmilch, Johann Peter
Lotka, Alfred James
Bacon, Francis, 1st Baron Verulam
Time Periods
17th century
19th century
18th century
16th century
Early modern
21st century
Places
England
London (England)
Germany
Wales
Netherlands
South Africa
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