Article ID: CBB517134330

Broken Promises & Empty Threats: The Evolution of AI in the USA, 1956–1996 (March 2018)

unapi

Garvey, Colin (Author)


Technology's Stories
Volume: 6
Issue: 1


Publication Date: March 2018
Edition Details: Issue Theme: Artificial Intelligence
Language: English

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is once again a promising technology. The last time this happened was in the 1980s, and before that, the late 1950s through the early 1960s. In between, commentators often described AI as having fallen into “Winter,” a period of decline, pessimism, and low funding. Understanding the field’s more than six decades of history is difficult because most of our narratives about it have been written by AI insiders and developers themselves, most often from a narrowly American perspective.1 In addition, the trials and errors of the early years are scarcely discussed in light of the current hype around AI, heightening the risk that past mistakes will be repeated. How can we make better sense of AI’s history and what might it tell us about the present moment? This essay adopts a periodization used in the Japanese AI community to look at the history of AI in the USA. One developer, Yutaka Matsuo, claims we are now in the third AI boom. 2 I borrow this periodization because I think describing AI in terms of “booms” captures well the cyclical nature of AI history: the booms have always been followed by busts. In what follows I sketch the evolution of AI across the first two booms covering a period of four decades from 1956 to 1996. In order to elucidate some of the dynamics of AI’s boom-and-bust cycle, I focus on the promise of AI. Specifically, we’ll be looking at the impact of statements about what AI one day would, or could, become.

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Associated with

Article Youjung Shin (March 2018) Hangul and the "Spring" of Artificial Intelligence Research in South Korea. Technology's Stories. unapi

Article John Krige (2018) Representing the Life of an Outstanding Chinese Aeronautical Engineer: A Transnational Perspective. Technology's Stories. unapi

Article Kira Lussier (March 2018) From the Intuitive Human to the Intuitive Computer. Technology's Stories. unapi

Citation URI
https://data.isiscb.org/isis/citation/CBB517134330/

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Authors & Contributors
Coeckelbergh, Mark
Denise Tsang
Verónica Pérez-Cerecedo
Lussier, Kira
Lipson, Hod
José de Jesús Brambila-Paz
Journals
IEEE Annals of the History of Computing
IEEE Technology and Society Magazine
Tapuya: Latin American Science, Technology and Society
Science, Technology and Human Values
Business History Review
Publishers
MIT Press
Independently published
Springer
Pickering & Chatto
Johns Hopkins University Press
Belknap Press of Harvard University Press
Concepts
Computers and computing
Artificial intelligence
History of Computing
Technological innovation
Technology and society
Machine learning
People
Mortimer Taube
Time Periods
21st century
20th century
20th century, late
19th century
Places
United States
Switzerland
Japan
Israel
Great Britain
Institutions
Jōhō Shori Gakkai (Japan) -- Information Processing Society of Japan
ETH-Bibliothek, Zürich
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