Book ID: CBB246208301

Probability (2015)

unapi

Rowbottom, Darrell P. (Author)


Polity Press


Publication Date: 2015
Physical Details: 180
Language: English

When a doctor tells you there's a one percent chance that an operation will result in your death, or a scientist claims that his theory is probably true, what exactly does that mean? Understanding probability is clearly very important, if we are to make good theoretical and practical choices. In this engaging and highly accessible introduction to the philosophy of probability, Darrell Rowbottom takes the reader on a journey through all the major interpretations of probability, with reference to real-world situations. In lucid prose, he explores the many fallacies of probabilistic reasoning, such as the 'gambler's fallacy' and the 'inverse fallacy', and shows how we can avoid falling into these traps by using the interpretations presented. He also illustrates the relevance of the interpretation of probability across disciplinary boundaries, by examining which interpretations of probability are appropriate in diverse areas such as quantum mechanics, game theory, and genetics. Using entertaining dialogues to draw out the key issues at stake, this unique book will appeal to students and scholars across philosophy, the social sciences, and the natural sciences.

...More
Reviewed By

Review Justin Dallmann (2016) Review of "Probability". Metascience: An International Review Journal for the History, Philosophy and Social Studies of Science (pp. 331-333). unapi

Citation URI
https://data.isiscb.org/isis/citation/CBB246208301/

Similar Citations

Article McClelland, James L.; (2012)
R. Duncan Luce (1925--2012) (/isis/citation/CBB001320468/)

Chapter Stöltzner, Michael; (2003)
Vienna Indeterminism II: From Exner's Synthesis to Frank and von Mises (/isis/citation/CBB001213685/)

Book Boumans, Marcel; Hon, Giora; Petersen, Arthur; (2013)
Error and Uncertainty in Scientific Practice (/isis/citation/CBB001422491/)

Book Gintis, Herbert; (2009)
The Bounds of Reason: Game Theory and the Unification of the Behavioral Sciences (/isis/citation/CBB001201375/)

Essay Review Francesca Merlin; (2016)
The Multi-faceted Idea of Chance in Darwin’s Writings (/isis/citation/CBB277595372/)

Article Bienvenu, Laurent; Shafer, Glenn; Shen, Alexander; (2009)
On the History of Martingales in the Study of Randomness (/isis/citation/CBB001021421/)

Article Eugene Seneta; (2018)
Joseph Mark Gani 1924–2016 (/isis/citation/CBB891098343/)

Book Laurent Mazliak; Glenn Shafer; (2022)
The Splendors and Miseries of Martingales: Their History from the Casino to Mathematics (/isis/citation/CBB195334126/)

Article Rudolf Schüssler; (2016)
Equi-Probability Prior to 1650 (/isis/citation/CBB284664227/)

Article George R. McGhee; (2016)
Can evolution be directional without being teleological? (/isis/citation/CBB533310319/)

Article Sylvain Billiard; Alexandra Alvergne; (2017)
Stochasticity in Cultural Evolution: A Revolution yet to Happen (/isis/citation/CBB554015405/)

Article Shahar Avin; (2019)
Mavericks and lotteries (/isis/citation/CBB954357351/)

Article Mark Thakkar; (2022)
A Note on Equiprobability Prior to 1500 (/isis/citation/CBB070954368/)

Article T. Dryer; (2018)
Algorithms under the Reign of Probability (/isis/citation/CBB344907395/)

Article Pierrick Bourrat; (2020)
Natural selection and the reference grain problem (/isis/citation/CBB530242611/)

Article Rancan, Antonella; (2013)
Modigliani's and Simon's Early Contributions to Uncertainty (1952--61) (/isis/citation/CBB001451821/)

Article Maria Teresa Borgato; Luigi Pepe; (2022)
Lagrange and the Progress in Astronomy (/isis/citation/CBB796464353/)

Article Stolz, Michael; (2002)
The History of Applied Mathematics and the History of Society (/isis/citation/CBB000300358/)

Authors & Contributors
Shafer, Glenn
Dryer, Theodora
Alvergne, Alexandra
Bourrat, Pierrick
Rudolf Schüssler
Billiard, Sylvain
Concepts
Probability and statistics
Stochastic or random processes
Applied mathematics
Evolution
Philosophy of science
Certainty; uncertainty
Time Periods
20th century
21st century
20th century, early
19th century
20th century, late
Medieval
Places
United States
New Zealand
Australia
Great Britain
Institutions
Cambridge. University. Laboratory of Molecular Biology
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (CSIRO) (Australia)
Comments

Be the first to comment!

{{ comment.created_by.username }} on {{ comment.created_on | date:'medium' }}

Log in or register to comment