Article ID: CBB001420737

The Difficult Birth of Stochastics: Jacob Bernoulli's Ars Conjectandi (1713) (2014)


Jacob Bernoulli (1654--1705) did most of his research on the mathematics of uncertainty -- or stochastics, as he came to call it -- between 1684 and 1690. However, the Ars Conjectandi, in which he presented his insights (including the fundamental Law of Large Numbers), was printed only in 1713, eight years after his death. The paper studies the sources and the development of Bernoulli's ideas on probability, the reasons behind the delay in publishing and the circumstances under which his masterpiece eventually reached the public.

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Authors & Contributors
Bredekamp, Horst
Harry R. Lewis
Mariano Giaquinta
Strickland, Lloyd
Wardhaugh, Benjamin
Sylla, Edith Dudley
Journal Electronique d'Histoire des Probabilités et de la Statistique
Nuncius: Annali di Storia della Scienza
British Journal for the History of Mathematics
Studies in History and Philosophy of Science
Notes and Records: The Royal Society Journal of the History of Science
College Mathematics Journal
MIT Press
Center for History of Science at the Royal Swedish Academy of Scieces
University of Chicago
Probability and statistics
Primary literature (historical sources)
Probabilism (philosophy)
Bernoulli, Jakob
Leibniz, Gottfried Wilhelm von
Bernoulli, Johann
Galilei, Galileo
Bernoulli, family
Ashley, Robert
Time Periods
17th century
18th century
16th century
20th century
15th century
London (England)
Great Britain

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