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Article ID: CBB001210578

Accuracy, Language Dependence, and Joyce's Argument for Probabilism (2012)

Fitelson, Branden (Author)

Philosophy of Science
Volume: 79
Pages: 167--174

DOI: 10.1086/663242

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Truth Forecasting; prediction Exactness; precision; accuracy Logic Explanation; hypotheses; theories Probability and statistics Miller, David

In this article, I explain how a variant of David Miller's argument concerning the language dependence of the accuracy of predictions can be applied to Joyce's notion of the accuracy of estimates of numerical truth-values (i.e., Joycean credences). This leads to a potential problem for Joyce's accuracy-dominance-based argument for the conclusion that credences (understood as estimates of numerical truth-values in Joyce's sense) should obey the probability calculus.

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