Armatte, Michel (Author)
Les historiens des sciences, promoteurs de la notion de révolution scientifique placent l'observation et l'expérimentation au fondement de la science moderne et font jouer au témoignage un rôle de premier plan dans la connaissance des faits, mais leur fiabilité incertaine n'autorise qu'une connaissance probable. Or la théorie des probabilités qui se constitue également à la toute fin du XVIIe comprend une branche importante, la probabilité des témoignages, dont les principales propositions sont dues à Craig, Hooper, J. et N. Bernoulli, d'Alembert, Condorcet, Laplace, Lacroix, Poisson et Cournot. On pourrait s'attendre à ce que la théorie probabiliste des erreurs emprunte à cette tradition. Or il n'en est rien : elle se constitue sur une toute autre base. En retraçant ces deux histoires parallèles, nous essayons d'expliquer les raisons du paradoxe de cette non-rencontre, et des deux historiographies quasi indépendantes du calcul des probabilités sur les témoignages et sur les observations scientifiques.
...MoreDescription On probability theory at the end of the 17th century.
Article Martin, Thierry (2011) Introduction. Journal Electronique d'Histoire des Probabilités et de la Statistique.
Article
Bru, Bernard;
(2006)
The Bernoulli Code
(/isis/citation/CBB001021363/)
Book
Hacking, Ian;
(2006)
The Emergence of Probability: A Philosophical Study of Early Ideas aboutProbability, Induction, and Statistical Inference
(/isis/citation/CBB000830028/)
Article
Martin, Thierry;
(2011)
Introduction
(/isis/citation/CBB001024470/)
Article
Domski, Mary;
(2013)
Kant and Newton on the a priori Necessity of Geometry
(/isis/citation/CBB001320266/)
Chapter
Serfati, Michel;
(2008)
Symbolic Inventiveness and “Irrationalist” Practices in Leibniz's Mathematics
(/isis/citation/CBB001023822/)
Book
David, H. A. (Herbert Aron);
Edwards, A. W. F. (Anthony William Fairbank);
(2000)
Annotated Readings in the History of Statistics
(/isis/citation/CBB000101937/)
Book
Campe, Rüdiger;
(2012)
The Game of Probability: Literature and Calculation from Pascal to Kleist
(/isis/citation/CBB001252483/)
Book
Todhunter, Isaac;
(2001)
History of the Mathematical Theory of Probability from the Time of Pascal to that of LaPlace
(/isis/citation/CBB000101615/)
Chapter
Breger, Herbert;
(2008)
The Art of Mathematical Rationality
(/isis/citation/CBB001023823/)
Book
Grabiner, Judith V.;
(2010)
A Historian Looks Back: The Calculus as Algebra and Selected Writings
(/isis/citation/CBB001033182/)
Article
Bellhouse, David R.;
Marcio Alves Diniz;
(2021)
David Gregory, John Arbuthnot and their roles in the early development of probability in Great Britain
(/isis/citation/CBB487969280/)
Article
Eberhardt, Frederick;
(2011)
Reliability via Synthetic a priori: Reichenbach's Doctoral Thesis on Probability
(/isis/citation/CBB001211469/)
Book
Alan Hajek;
Christopher Hitchcock;
(2016)
The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy
(/isis/citation/CBB490723694/)
Thesis
Campos, Daniel Gerardo;
(2005)
The Discovery of Mathematical Probability Theory: A Case Study in the Logic of Mathematical Inquiry
(/isis/citation/CBB001561608/)
Article
Bartha, Paul;
(2004)
Countable Additivity and the de Finetti Lottery
(/isis/citation/CBB000410760/)
Article
Clero, Jean-Pierre;
(2008)
Lacan and Probabilities
(/isis/citation/CBB001021400/)
Article
Palmieri, Paolo;
(2009)
Radical Mathematical Thomism: Beings of Reason and Divine Decrees in Torricelli's Philosophy of Mathematics
(/isis/citation/CBB000932494/)
Book
Hammond, Nicholas;
(2003)
The Cambridge Companion to Pascal
(/isis/citation/CBB000651568/)
Book
Shea, William R.;
(2003)
Designing Experiments and Games of Chance: The Unconventional Scienceof Blaise Pascal
(/isis/citation/CBB000740239/)
Book
Jullien, Vincent;
(2006)
Philosophie naturelle et géométrie au XVIIe siècle
(/isis/citation/CBB000775217/)
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