Article ID: CBB001024019

Probabilistic Causation and the Explanatory Role of Natural Selection (2011)

unapi

The explanatory role of natural selection is one of the long-term debates in evolutionary biology. Nevertheless, the consensus has been slippery because conceptual confusions and the absence of a unified, formal causal model that integrates different explanatory scopes of natural selection. In this study we attempt to examine two questions: (i) What can the theory of natural selection explain? and (ii) Is there a causal or explanatory model that integrates all natural selection explananda? For the first question, we argue that five explananda have been assigned to the theory of natural selection and that four of them may be actually considered explananda of natural selection. For the second question, we claim that a probabilistic conception of causality and the statistical relevance concept of explanation are both good models for understanding the explanatory role of natural selection. We review the biological and philosophical disputes about the explanatory role of natural selection and formalize some explananda in probabilistic terms using classical results from population genetics. Most of these explananda have been discussed in philosophical terms but some of them have been mixed up and confused. We analyze and set the limits of these problems.

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Authors & Contributors
Sober, Elliott R.
Birch, Jonathan
Ariew, André
Bourrat, Pierrick
Rice, Collin C.
Rohwer, Yasha
Concepts
Philosophy of biology
Biology
Natural selection
Evolution
Population genetics
Causality
Time Periods
20th century
21st century
19th century
20th century, late
20th century, early
18th century
Places
England
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