Pradier, Pierre-Charles (Author)
TheeconomistsdidnotfindanypieceworthofinterestintheArsConjectandiuntiltheirdisciplinebecamethescienceofchoice,bythe1930's.JamesBernoulli'sbook,aswellastheworkofhisnephewsNicholasandDanielcanneverthelessbeconsideredaslandmarks,ifnotasthebirthcertificate,ofeconomicrationality.Jamessketchesdecisionrationality;Nicholaslooksforconciliationbetweenpartieswiththesamemercantilegoodsense,thiswell-behavedself-interestofmerchants,asillustratedbyDaniel'sexamples.TheeconomistsarenowbusywiththeresearchprogramdrawnbytheBernoullifamily.SomereadersofKeynesarestilldubiousaboutdecisiontheorybecauseofuncertainty,whilesomefundamentaliststhinktheeconomic(Bayesian)theorytobeperfect.TheireconomictheorymodelsaworldfullofBayesianegoisticdecision-makers.Betweentheseextremestancesthereissomeroomforthemodernstochasticandsomereflectionaboutit.
...MoreDescription On the role played by Bernoulli's work on the development of economic theory.
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Giocoli, Nicola;
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From Wald to Savage: Homo Economicus Becomes a Bayesian Statistician
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Martin, Thierry;
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Logique du probable de J. Bernoulli à J. H. Lambert
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Bru, Bernard;
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The Bernoulli Code
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Schneider, Ivo;
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Influences of Jakob's Bernoulli's Ars Conjectandi in 18th-c. Great Britain
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Casella, George;
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A Short History of Markov Chain Monte Carlo: Subjective Recollections from Incomplete Data
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The Art of Conjecturing, Together with Letter to a Friend on Sets in Court Tennis
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McLean, Iain;
(2009)
Thomas Jefferson, James Madison, Probability and Constitutions
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Stapleford, Thomas Anderson;
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“The Most Important Single Statistic”: The Consumer Price Index and American Political Economy, 1880--1955
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Twardy, Charles R.;
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A Criterion of Probabilistic Causation
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Hartmann, Stephan;
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Bayesian Epistemology
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Zabell, Sandy;
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Philosophy of Inductive Logic: The Bayesian Perspective
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Howie, David;
(2002)
Interpreting Probability: Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century
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Yeo, Yeongseo;
(2002)
Bayesian Scientific Methodology: A Naturalistic Approach
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Teira, David;
(2006)
On the Normative Dimension of the St. Petersburg Paradox
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Armatte, Michel;
(2006)
Les statisticiens du XIXème siècle lecteurs de J. Bernoulli
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